주택시장에서의 사용자비용과 임차비용간의 장기적 관계

• 영문명: Evaluating the Long-Term Relationship between the User Cost and the Rental Cost in the Housing Market
• 발행기관: 한국주택학회
• 저자명: 마승렬(Seungryul Ma)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국주택학회 학술대회 발표논문집』2018년 정기학술대회 자료집, 53~71쪽, 전체 19쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2018.12.14

영문 초록

After we calculated the home owner’s user cost(Ct) and renter’s rental cost(Rt) of the same house in the housing market,we analyzed the long-term relationship between Ct and Rt. In addition, we also analyzed the long-term relationship between the variation of the value ( Rt-Ct) and housing price(Ht). To do this, after building reasonable formulas to calculate the values of Ct and Rt varied by time t, we analyzed the values of Ct and Rt by region. In the end, we presented the future forecasted values of Ct , Rt , and Ht. Related to the long-term relationship between Ct and Rt , it is expected that the demand for home buying would increase when the situation of Ct < Rt lasted. On the contrary, the demand for home buying would decrease when the situation of Ct > Rt lasted. Meanwhile, the potential home buyer could prefer renting to buying the same home when the growth rate of house price is lower than average growth rate. This period is expected to be highly related to the period when the situation of Ct > Rt lasted, and in our analysis, we could confirm this close relationship. It is expected that the analyzed results of the long-term relationship among Ct, Rt , and Ht as well as the forecasting method we used in our analysis could be used as a meaningful indicator to estimate the future direction of housing market environment by region in advance.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 분석모형 및 자료

Ⅲ. 분석결과

Ⅳ. 결론

키워드

사용자비용 임차비용 주택가격 잠재적 주택매입자 User Cost Rental Cost Housing Price Potential Home Buyer