도시인구성장, 규모, 밀도 및 이동률에 따른 범죄공간분석

• 영문명: An spatial analysis of crime by the urban population growth, size, density, and movement
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 기정훈(Ki, Junghoon) Hur, Kunesook․ Choi, Youngsuk
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회 세미나 논문집』2014년 추계학술대회 발표집, 157~172쪽, 전체 16쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2014.09.30

영문 초록

In this study, I examine the causal relationship between population and crime in city, county, and district in Korea. Specifically, I try to find out how population size, density, growth, movement, and area size affect on violent crime per 100,000 people. I conduct several single regression analysis using population variables and area size variable as independent variables and crime variable as dependent variable. In the first step, I use total 232 city, county, and district data and get the following findings. First, population density, population movement, and population size have a positive causal relationship onto the violent crime per 100,000 people. Second, area size has a negative causal relationship onto the violent crime per 100,000 people. In the second step, I categorize 232 city, county, and district into three groups according to population size, density, movement, growth, and area size. The findings of the second step are as follows. First, population size, only when it is less than 100,000, has a positive casual relationship onto the violent crime per 100,000 people. Second, population density, only when it is less than 4,000 people/km2, has a positive casual relationship onto the violent crime per 100,000 people. Third, area size, only when it is less than 600km2, has a negative causal relationship onto the violent crime per 100,000 people. In terms of population size and density, small and medium size cities may be more vulnerable than big cities or metropolitan cities. Therefore, it is necessary to prepare urban planning and police measures to deal with population size, density, and area size in terms of violent crimes.

목차

1. 연구의 목적

2. 이론 및 문헌연구

3. 연구자료 및 분석방법

4. 연구결과

5. 결론 및 정책적 시사점

키워드

강력범죄(Violent Crime) 인구규모(Population Size) 인구밀도(Population Density) 인구이동(Population Movement) 인구성장(Population Growth)