제약조건하의 승수효과분석은 왜 필요한가?

• 영문명: Why Do We Need the Multiplier Analysis under Constraints? -Based on the Input-Output Multipliers through the Budget Redistribution-
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 김호언(Gim, Ho Un)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회 세미나 논문집』2014년 춘계학술대회 발표집, 1~25쪽, 전체 25쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2014.05.30

영문 초록

Basically, the multiplier effects derived from the models of IO(inputoutput), OO(output-output), and FF(final demand-final output) between total output(x), final output(o ), and final demand(f ) are based on the unrestricted(or unconstrained) conditions in financing constraints. However, in the real economic activity, if a new injection program focused on sector needs a reduction of expenditure in the remaining sectors, for ≠ , so as to maintain the total budget constraints of the government. On the basis of the latest research findings and results from the multiplier analysis under constraints in the recent economic literature, the specific objectives of this paper can be summed up as follows. (1) We testify the importance and necessity for the multiplier analysis under constraints through the limitations of the multiplier effects in the models of I(input), IO, OO, and FF. (2) We derive the model for the multiplier analysis under constraints and show the economic characteristics and usefulness of the model developed by the author. (3) We empirically calculated the multiplier effects under constraints by endogenous sectors through the output requirements for final demand(or Leontief inverse ) from the raw data of the 2010 Input-Output Tables of Korea.

목차

1. 序論

2. 제약조건하의 승수효과분석의 필요성

3. 예산제약(예산 재분배)을 통한 투입⋅산출승수

4. 경험적 사례 연구

5. 요약 및 결론

참 고 문 헌

키워드

승수효과분석(Multiplier Analysis) 제약조건(Constraints) 예산제약(Budget Constraints) 투입ㆍ산출승수(Input-Output Multipliers) 제약산출 승수(Constrained Output Multipliers)