지역 합계출산율에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석

• 영문명: Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Total Fertility Rate: Using a Model Considering Cross-sectional Dependence
• 발행기관: 강원대학교 경영경제연구소
• 저자명: 김소연(So-Youn Kim) 류수열(Su-Yeol Ryu)
• 간행물 정보: 『아태비즈니스연구』제15권 제1호, 335~352쪽, 전체 18쪽
• 주제분류: 인문학 > 문학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2024.03.30

영문 초록

Purpose - Low fertility rate is a serious problem, and this study analyzes factors affecting total fertility rate using panel data from 16 metropolitan cities and provinces in Korea from 2000 to 2022. Design/methodology/approach - Estimating the SAR model considering the weak cross-sectional dependence that exists in variables related to the regional total fertility rate, and using the DKSE estimation method considering the strong cross-sectional dependence. Findings - Estimation results considering weak and strong cross-sectional dependence were similar, confirming the robustness of the results. Female labor force participation rate has a positive effect on total fertility rate, and employment rate has no effect. However, the interaction term is a negative (-) sign. Crude marriage rate has a positive effect on total fertility rate, and apartment price has a slightly positive effect. Environmental factor has no effect, and policy factor has a negative effect. Research implications or Originality - In order for an increase in the female labor force participation rate to lead to an increase in the total fertility rate, qualitative improvements in female employment must be made. Financial investment policies for childbirth must increase their effectiveness. The problem of low fertility rate requires not only population policy but also social, economic, cultural, environmental, and policy conditions to be considered.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구

Ⅲ. 분석자료 및 분석모형

Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

References

키워드

Driscoll-Kraay Standard Errors Spatial Autoregressive Model Total Fertility Rate Weak and Strong Cross-Sectional Dependence