사업 단계별 복합 실물옵션을 이용한 주택재개발사업의 가치평가

• 영문명: The Valuation of Housing Redevelopment Projects Using the Sequential Compound Real Options by Business Stage
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 진연화(Jin, Yeon-Hwa) 유정석(Yu, Jung-Suk)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제29권 제1호, 51~78쪽, 전체 28쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2017.03.30

영문 초록

This study evaluates the business value by applying real options that complement the shortcomings of existing methods of Net Present Value (NPV) as a feasibility evaluation of housing redevelopment. The real option is the application of techniques of financial investment options and reflects the variability of step-by-step business risks under the uncertainties of the future. Therefore, the real option is suitable for analyzing housing redevelopment project that it takes a long period of time. The housing redevelopment projects can proceed in the next steps, depending on whether or not the project is carried out by project stages. Therefore, a sequential option to abandon is applied to Bermuda compound option for calculating the valuation of the housing redevelopment projects. The sequential compound option evaluates the business value by separating of primary, secondary and tertiary analysis. As a result, because the exercise price of the put option price is lower than the underlying asset from the 1st analysis to the 3rd analysis, it is reasonable to proceed with the project to the option expiry time than the exercise of the deferral option.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 실물옵션의 가치평가 기본모형 및 선행연구와의 차별성

3. 실물옵션을 이용한 주택재개발사업의 가치평가

4. 사업 단계별 복합옵션을 이용한 주택재개발사업의 가치평가

5. 결론 및 시사점

키워드

주택재개발사업 Housing Redevelopment 실물옵션 Real Option 변동성 Volatility 포기옵션 Deferral Option 복합옵션 Compound Option)