한계마을 특성분석 및 변화예측: 충청남도를 사례지역으로

• 영문명: Analysis and Prediction of Marginal Village: Case Study on Chungcheongnam-do, Korea
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 윤정미(Yun, Jeong-Mi) 김동한(Kim, Donghan)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제29권 제1호, 121~136쪽, 전체 16쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2017.03.30

영문 초록

After entering into a low growth stage, Korea has experienced decline and decay of existing settlement areas. Especially many rural villages face depopulation and aging issues. To cope with such problems, more systematic approach and specific analysis are desired. This research reviews the concept of marginal village which results from depopulation and aging and conducts a case study analysis of Chungchengnam-do, Korea. We construct a logistic regression model with variables on natural environment, transport infrastructure, accessibility to basic service, and analyze spatial determinants of marginal villages. Based on the results of the analysis, we calculate transition probability of each spatial blocks and predict potential marginal villages from the statistical probability. Then we conclude with policy implications and future study.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 한계마을의 개념고찰

3. 한계마을 특성분석 및 변화예측

4. 결론 및 시사점

키워드

한계마을 Marginal Village 고령화 Aging 과소화 Depopulation Logistic Regression Analysis 로지스틱회귀분석