서울-강릉 간 고속철도 건설에 따른 경제적 효과 분석: 연산일반균형모형을 중심으로

• 영문명: Economic Impacts of the Investment in High Speed Railroad Connecting Seoul and Gangneung: An Application of CGE Model
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 문인석(Moon, Inseok) 김의준(Kim, Euijune) 이유진(Yi, Yoojin)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제29권 제1호, 179~202쪽, 전체 24쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2017.03.30

영문 초록

This paper develops a framework for economic analysis of the investment in High-Speed Rail (HSR) line connecting Seoul and Gangneung in Korea. Our research framework is composed of a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model integrated with a micro-simulation of transportation network. The change of accessibility index due to the investment in the HSR line is calculated using network analysis approach, and the impact of transportation accessibility on local value-added is analyzed by estimating a production function. The micro-simulation of transportation network is integrated into a production module of the CGE model to analyze macroeconomic effect of the changes in accessibility index. The results indicate that the GDP　 increases by 2.86%, and the increase in value-added is greatest among service industries (3.11%), followed by tourism industries (2.86%). This implies that supportive policies to develop service industries including tourism sectors along with the HSR construction would contribute to economic growth in more balanced way.

목차

1. 연구의 배경 및 목적

2. 서울-강릉 간 고속철도 건설 개요

3. 선행연구 고찰

4. 경제효과 분석

5. 결론 및 연구의 한계

키워드

고속철도 High Speed Railroad 연산일반균형모형 Computable General Equilibrium Model 접근성 Accessibility