맥주배송게임에서 다구찌 방법에 의한 불확실 정보 기반 의사결정 연구

• 영문명: Decision-Making based on Uncertain Information in a Beer Distribution Game Using the Taguchi Method
• 발행기관: 한국산업경영시스템학회
• 저자명: 이기광(Ki-Kwang Lee)
• 간행물 정보: 『산업경영시스템학회지』제33권 제3호, 162~168쪽, 전체 7쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경영학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2010.09.30

영문 초록

Information is known to be a key element for the successful operation of a supply chain, which is required of the efficient ordering strategies and accurate predictions of demands. This study proposes a method to effectively utilize the meteorological forecast information in order to make decisions about ordering and prediction of demands by using the Taguchi experimental design. It is supposed that each echelon in a supply chain determines the order quantity with the prediction of precipitation in the next day based on probability forecast information. The precipitation event is predicted when the probability of the precipitation exceeds a chosen threshold. Accordingly, the choice of the threshold affect the performances of a supply chain. The Taguchi method is adopted to deduce a set of thresholds for echelons which is least sensitive to changes in environmental conditions, such as variability of demand distributions and production periods. A simulation of the beer distribution game was conducted to show that the set of thresholds found by the Taguchi method can reduce the cumulative chain cost, which consists of inventory and backlog costs.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 연구모형 : 맥주배송게임

3. 연구 방법론

4. 연구 결과

5. 결 론

키워드

Meteorological Forecast Information Taguchi Method Simulation Beer Distribution Game