한국 무기체계 개발 실적을 고려한 연구개발 비용추정관계식 개발

• 영문명: Developing an R&D CER Using Historical Defense Weapon System Data in Korea
• 발행기관: 한국산업경영시스템학회
• 저자명: 어원재(Won-Jae Eo) 이용복(Yong-Bok Lee) 강성진(Sung-Jin Kang)
• 간행물 정보: 『산업경영시스템학회지』제33권 제3호, 55~62쪽, 전체 8쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경영학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2010.09.30

영문 초록

Currently, cost estimation is very important to the government acquisition programs to support decisions about funding and to evaluate resource requirement as key decision points. Parametric cost estimating models have been used extensively to obtain appropriate cost estimates in early acquisition phase. However, they have many restrictions to ensure the cost estimating result in Korean defense environment because they are developed in the U.S.A. environment. In order to obtain a good R&D cost estimate, developing our own CERs (Cost Estimation Relationships) using historical R&D data is essential. Nevertheless, there has been little research to develop our own CERs. In this research, we established a CER development process and found some cost drivers in the historical movement weapon system R&D data. The R&D CER is developed using the PCR(Principle Component Regression) method to remove multicollinearity among data and to overcome the restriction of the insufficient number of sample. At least, this research is meaningful as a first attempt in terms of defining the CER development process and obtaining our own R&D CER based on the historical data in Korean weapon system R&D environment.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 기존연구 고찰 및 이론적 배경

3. CER 개발 절차 및 고려사항

4. CER 개발

5. 결론 및 향후연구 방향

키워드

CER Multicollinearity PCR MMRE PRED(ℓ)