사회재난의 경제적 파급효과 2016년 철도파업으로 인한 물류대란 피해

• 영문명: Economic Impact of Social Disasters Loss of Logistical Damage caused by 2016 Railroad Strike
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 문승운(Moon, Seung Woon) 김의준(Kim, Euijune)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제30권 제5호, 97~124쪽, 전체 28쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2018.12.30

영문 초록

KORAIL estimate that it suffered an economic loss of 98.9 billion won due to a railway strike in 2016 and indirect industrial damage to other industries exceeded 80 billion won. In order to make a policy decision on railroad strikes, it is necessary to estimate the precise amount of damage by railroad strikes. This paper is focused on estimation of economic cost of railroad strike using the micro-simulation CGE model and the Workplace Panel Survey(WPS). The WPS is a statistical survey to conducted by the Korea Labor Institute. The result shows that the cost of railroad strike could is KRW 6.225 tillion (0.524% of the GDP) per year. If the probability of strike decreased through conflict adjustment between labor and management, the strike costs could reduce by KRW 2,241 to 6,097 billion.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 이론 및 선행연구

3. 분석

4. 결 론

키워드

철도파업(Railroad strike) 연산가능일반균형모형(Computable General Equilibrium, CGE) 미시의태분석(Micro-simulation) 사회재난(Social disaster)