中国通货膨胀成因分析: 基于SVAR模型的检验

• 영문명: The cause analysis of the chinese inflation: Based on the SVAR model
• 발행기관: 한중경제문화학회
• 저자명: 张跃平 张耀天 韩建飞
• 간행물 정보: 『한중경제문화연구』제2권, 75~94쪽, 전체 20쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2014.02.28

국문 초록

本文通过对 2001—2011年四十四个季度的宏观数据，运用演绎归纳的思路剔除了不 显著的影响因素，设定了相对精确的计量模型，然后通过协整检验和SVAR框架进行实 证检验，分析了长期和短期中过剩流动性，外汇占款，经济增长缺口,劳动力成本和汇 率变动对国内通货膨胀的影响程度。结果表明:治理当前我国通货膨胀的关键在于防止 经济过热，控制投资规模和对冲外汇占款。

영문 초록

Based on the 2001-2011 forty four quarters macro data, using deductive and inductive thinking does not exclude a significant factor, setting a relatively precise measurement model, and then through empirical framework for co-integration test and SVAR inspection, analysis of long-term and short-term excess liquidity, foreign exchange, economic growth gap, labor costs and the degree of exchange rate movements on domestic inflation. The results showed that: China's current inflation is a key governance is to prevent the economy from overheating, control the scale of investment and hedge foreign exchange.

목차

一. 引言

二. 文献综述与问题提出

三. 数据与变量的选取及检验

四. 模型设定

五. 结论及建议

키워드

SVAR 通货膨胀成因 演绎归纳 Inflation inductive and deductive SVAR