지가변동요인이 지가에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

• 영문명: A Study on the Impact of Land Price Fluctuation Factors in Land Prices
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 임춘호(Lim, chun-ho) 박창수(Park, Chang-soo)
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』住居環境 제10권 제3호 (통권 제19호), 268~282쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2012.12.31

영문 초록

Since 1960s Korea land prices have risen to very higher level than its real income growth as the impact of rapid economic growth, industrialization and urbanization. However from 1990's the growth-ratio of Korea land-price started to go down with social & economic stability. The purpose of this study is to support the proactive & effective land policy formulation and foresee the land market, when the impact of land price change factor could be different depending on social & economic situations. In other words, I would like to do the empirical analysis and verification for fluctuation factor of land prices through cross correlation analysis, Granger Sims causality test, impulse response analysis, variance decomposition analysis between macroeconomic variable, and it should be based on the following hypothesis, "Korea land price is influenced by economic fundamental factors such as macro-economic variables including GDP, Stock index, Total currency, Exchange rate, Gross fixed capital formation, Consumer price index, Interest rate(3yr corporate bonds), Building permit area indicator." As brief result of the analysis, the land price was affected by the economic fundamental factors like Interest rates, real GDP, Consumer price index. So when we decide the land policy, we need to pinpoint all economic conditions and consider the direction of appropriate land policy and how to run.

목차

Abstract

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구

Ⅲ. 지가와 거시경제변수들간의 상관 관계분석

Ⅳ. 시계열분석에 의한 지가변동요인 분석

Ⅴ. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

지가 상관관계분석 시계열분석 인과관계검정 충격반응분석 분산분해분석 land prices correlation analysis time series analysis Granger Sims causality test impulse response analysis variance decomposition analysis