How US Fiscal and Monetary Policy affect the GDP of Countries with Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates: Estimates using Korean Data from 1963 to 2022

• 발행기관: 세종대학교 경제통합연구소
• 저자명: Jonathan E. Leightner
• 간행물 정보: 『Journal of Economic Integration』제39권 제1호, 86~106쪽, 전체 21쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2024.03.01

국문 초록

Abstract The simplest large country IS/LM/BP model (Mundell-Fleming Model) predicts that an increase in Government spending in the US would cause an increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for countries with flexible exchange rate regimes and decreases in GDP for countries with fixed exchange rate regimes. In contrast, increases in the US money supply would cause an increase in GDP for countries with fixed exchange rate regimes and decreases in GDP for countries with flexible exchange rate regimes. This paper uses a solution to the omitted variables problem of regression analysis to estimate the effects of US fiscal and monetary policy on the Republic of Korea using quarterly data. The data splits into two sections: (1) from 1962 through 1997, Korea had a fixed exchange rate regime and (2) from 1998 through 2022, Korea had a flexible exchange rate regime. The empirical results fit the Large Country IS/LM/BP predictions.

목차

I. Introduction

II. The Large Country IS/LM/BP Predictions

III. Data Used and Empirical Results

IV. Discussion

V. Conclusion

Appendix I. Statistical Technique Used

Appendix II. When Estimates use a Log-Linear Form

키워드

United States Mundell-Fleming model policy coordination South Korea spill over effects fixed versus flexible exchange rate systems