학술논문
Dynamics of Crude Oil and Real Exchange Rate in India
이용수 0
- 영문명
- 발행기관
- 한국유통과학회
- 저자명
- Md. Shabbir ALAM Mohammed Ahmar UDDIN Syed Ahsan JAMIL
- 간행물 정보
- 『The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business(JAFEB)』Vol. 7 No.12, 123~129쪽, 전체 7쪽
- 주제분류
- 경제경영 > 경제학
- 파일형태
- 발행일자
- 2020.12.30
무료
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국문 초록
영문 초록
This scholarly work is an effort to capture the effects of oil prices on the actual exchange rate between dollar and rupee. This is done with reference to the U.S. dollar as oil prices are marked in USD (U.S. Dollar) in the international market, and India is among the top five importers of oil. Using monthly data from January 2001 to May 2020. The study used the real GDP, money supply, short-term interest rate difference between two countries, and inflation apart from the crude oil prices per barrel as the factors that help define the exchange rate. The analysis, through cointegration and vector error correction method (VECM), suggests long and short-run causality amid prices of oil and the rate of exchange fluctuations. Oil prices are found to be negatively related to the exchange rate in the long term but positively related in the short term. The result of the Wald test also indicates the short-run causation from the short-term interest rate and the prices of crude oil towards the exchange rate. The present study shows that oil prices are evidence of the existence of short-term and long-term driving associations with short-term interest rates and exchange rates.
목차
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Research Methods and Materials
4. Results and Discussion
5. Conclusion
References
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