공적개발원조(ODA)가 공여국 수출, 생산 및 고용에 미치는 효과

• 영문명: The Effects of Official Development Assistance (ODA) on Donor Exports, Production and Employment: The Case of Korea
• 발행기관: 한국무역연구원
• 저자명: 최지운(Ji-Un Choe) 원용걸(Yong-Kul Won)
• 간행물 정보: 『무역연구』제16권 제3호, 203~224쪽, 전체 22쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 무역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2020.06.30

영문 초록

Purpose - This paper empirically analyzes the effects of Korea’s Official Development Assistance (ODA) on its exports, production and employment, thereby providing some policy suggestions for Korea. Design/Methodology/Approach - We conduct dynamic panel regression analyses based on the augmented gravity model, using bilateral ODA and relevant gravity data for 156 countries that have received either concessionary loans or grants from Korea over the period from 1991 to 2017. Based on the regression results and Korea’s input-output tables published by the Bank of Korea, we calculate the exact amount of Korea’s exports, production and employment promoted by Korea’s ODA. Findings - First, Korea’s ODA increases Korea’s exports to the recipient countries. Secondly, a dollar increase in Korea’s ODA increases its exports by $6.30 in the short run and by $13.70 in the long run. Thirdly, unlike what is commonly believed, grants promote exports more than loans do. Fourthly, Korea’s input-output table shows that a dollar increase in Korea’s ODA expands Korea’s GDP by $4.10 in the short run, and by $8.10 in the long run. Finally, Korea’s ODA has created 1.1 million jobs in the short run, and 2.1 million jobs in long run over the past 27 years. Research Implications - Korea’s ODA has contributed to domestic production and employment as well as its exports. This shows that ODA is beneficial not only to recipient countries, but also to donor countries. Following the OECD guideline and the other advanced donor countries, therefore, Korea should be able to increase the amount of its ODA.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 우리나라 ODA 현황 및 추이

Ⅲ. 기존 문헌검토

Ⅳ. 실증분석 방법

Ⅴ. 실증분석 결과

Ⅵ. ODA의 수출, 생산 및 고용 유발효과 분석

Ⅶ. 결론

References

키워드

Dynamic Panel Regression Employment Exports Gravity Model Korea ODA