합법사행산업이 불법도박을 대체하는가?

• 영문명: Does Legalized Gambling Industry Substitute Illegal Gambling?: A Case Study on Sports Betting
• 발행기관: 한국무역연구원
• 저자명: 이연호(Yeonho Lee) 조택희(Taek-Hee Cho) 배영목(Young-Mok Bae) 박영화(Young-Hwa Park)
• 간행물 정보: 『무역연구』제14권 제1호, 303~319쪽, 전체 17쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 무역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2018.02.21

영문 초록

This study empirically analyzes whether legalized gambling is a substitute for or a complement to illegal gambling by conducting a case study on sports betting. For this purpose, we first estimate determinants of sales of legal sports betting (e.g., Sports Toto/Proto) and illegal sports betting with a time series econometric model. In addition, from cross-sectional data obtained from 1,000 participants of sports betting, we examine the impacts of increased competitiveness of legal sports betting on illegal sports betting. Through time series analysis, we find that legal and illegal sports betting have a substitute relationship, but the relationship is weak due to the relative competitiveness of illegal sports betting in areas including accessibility, variety of products, and odds of winning. Cross-sectional data analysis reinforces the findings of the time series analysis. That is, instituting measures to deregulate restrictions on legal sports betting such as allowing purchases on mobile phones, 24-hour purchases, and higher odds of winning would significantly increase its substitution effect. The results suggest that policy effectiveness can be enhanced by steering illegal gambling to the legal domain by improving competitiveness of legal gambling, contrary to the prevailing tendency to focus on regulatory and punitive measures.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 분석자료

Ⅲ. 분석모형과 추정결과

Ⅳ. 규제완화에 의한 체육진흥 투표권의 불법도박 대체효과

Ⅴ. 결론

키워드

Competitiveness Deregulation Illegal Sports Betting Legalized Gambling Industry Sports Toto/Proto