국제상품 가격의 결정요인에 대한 연구

• 영문명: Price Determinants of Soybeans and Copper in the World Market
• 발행기관: 한국무역연구원
• 저자명: 최동현(Dong Hyun Choi) 이준서(June suh Yi)
• 간행물 정보: 『무역연구』제11권 제4호, 181~204쪽, 전체 24쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 무역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2015.08.30

영문 초록

The prices of soybeans and copper started to rise in the mid 2000’s along with the prices of gold and oil. Since then, the drivers of price movements for soybeans and copper have been rather complex. This study focuses on the factors that have driven the price movements of soybeans and copper. It analyzes weekly macro-economic data from the Bloomberg database from December 2004 to May 2015, including price fluctuations as well as stable periods for soybean and copper prices. The results show that the price of soybeans was driven by the gold price and non-commercial futures contracts which represented speculative demand, while the price of copper was driven by macro-economic variables such as oil prices and the S&P 500 index. In addition, the present study shows that ETFs are not yet a determinant of soybean and copper prices. Application of this study can help investors manage risks related to commodity portfolios; it can help managers forecast the prices of soybeans and copper in import markets; and they can help Korean government officials implement timely policies related to commodity prices.

목차

Abstract

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구

Ⅲ. 연구방법론

Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과

Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점

References

Appendix

키워드

Incoterms？？ FOB CIF Charter Party Contract GAFTA