Optimal Currency Basket Pegs for Developing and Emerging Economies

• 영문명: Optimal Currency Basket Pegs for Developing and Emerging Economies
• 발행기관: 세종대학교 경제통합연구소
• 저자명: Joseph P. Daniels Peter G. Toumanoff Marc von der Ruhr
• 간행물 정보: 『Journal of Economic Integration』제16권 제1호, 128~145쪽, 전체 18쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2001.03.31

영문 초록

The exchange rate arrangement represents an important policy choice for emerging and transitional economies as they strive to become stable and market-driven. A wide variety of arrangements have emerged, ranging from currency boards, basket-currency pegs and single-currency pegs to floating rates. Recently the IMF has recommended that, if the exchange value of a currency is to be pegged, it is better to peg to a basket of currencies rather than a single currency. Nonetheless, there has been little theoretical research on the management and optimal design of basket-peg arrangements. In this paper we extend the small-country macroeconomic model of Turnovsky to show that an optimally designed basket-peg arrangement can minimize the variance in domestic consumer prices as well as the variance of foreign reserves. The model highlights the importance of the money and bond markets and, therefore, the importance of various interest rate channels. Additionally we show what a trade-weighted currency basket is not only suboptimal, it is at odds with increasing capital market integration. Further our solutions illustrate that the optimal weights will evolve as the domestic economy integrates with the global market for goods and services, and financial instruments.

목차

Ⅰ.Introduction

Ⅱ.A Developing Country Model

Ⅲ.Policy Objectives and Optimal Instrument Settings

Ⅳ.Policy Relevance and Conclusion

키워드

Optimal Currency Basket