창원시 지방소멸에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

• 영문명: A Study on the Factors Affecting Changwon City's Local Extinction Risk Index
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 김지현
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』제21권 제4호 (통권 제62호), 151~165쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2023.12.31

영문 초록

This study aims to identify the factors that reduce the risk of rural depopulation in Changwon through the factors that affect the rural depopulation risk index in Changwon. The data used for the analysis of the study is a cross-sectional data for the distinguished areas of Changwon City in terms of geography, and a time series of 128 monthly data from January 2012 to August 2022. To conduct the empirical analysis, a balanced panel data combining cross-sectional and time series data was used to examine the factors affecting rural depopulation and population decline in Changwon City. The current rural depopulation risk index of Changwon City allowed us to identify the rural depopulation status of different districts of Changwon City, and it is expected to be used to provide direction for the establishment of real estate policies and future plans for each district. In the case of Changwon City, it was possible to identify that the population was rapidly declining as of 2016, and the population decline was caused by the decline of manufacturing, heavy industry, and shipbuilding, which are the core industries of Changwon City. Therefore, it is necessary for local governments to establish policies to attract the population of young people, the productive population, through deregulation and policy support centered on the Changwon National Industrial Complex, which is currently stagnating. It is judged that appropriate real estate development is necessary to attract consumers through the increase of apartment sales prices, and that supportive policies and deregulation policies for development can have a positive impact on the increase of the local extinction risk index in Changwon City. Based on these results, it is necessary for Changwon City to prepare policies in advance to ease the burden of renters due to population influx as a way to prevent population outflow to other areas, and to cope with sustainable population influx through housing stability support policies and relaxation of development regulations for housing supply.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 지방소멸의 이론적 근거 및 선행 연구

Ⅲ. 창원시 지방소멸의 현황

Ⅳ. 실증 분석

Ⅴ. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

지방소멸지수 창원시 아파트 매매가격 패널데이터 하우스만 검정 확률효과모형 Local extinction risk index Changwon Apartment sales price Panel data Hausman test Random effects model