가축 및 인간 질병 동시 발생에 따른 돈육 소비자 가격 영향 분석

• 영문명: Impact of Concurrent Outbreaks of Livestock and Human Disease on Pork Consumer Price
• 발행기관: 한국농업경제학회
• 저자명: 범진우 유도일
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경제연구』64권 3호, 77~97쪽, 전체 21쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2023.09.30

영문 초록

This study analyzes comprehensive impacts of concurrent outbreaks of African Swine Fever (ASF) and COVID-19 on pork consumer prices. For this study, we collect three time series data composed of the number of pigs culled by farms with ASF, the sentiment index for COVID-19 driven by big data sentiment analysis using on-line news texts, and the consumer price of pork belly. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models are constructed under three cases according to the presence of diseases. Results show the followings: first, the pork consumer price is affected negatively by ASF but positively by COVID-19. Second, the absolute impact of COVID-19 on price is bigger than that of ASF. Third, a comprehensive model considering both ASF and COVID-19 provides more reasonable results than models considering only one of both diseases.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 선행 연구

Ⅲ. 분석 모형

Ⅳ. 분석 자료

Ⅴ. 분석 결과

Ⅵ. 결론 및 시사점

참고문헌

키워드

African Swine Fever(ASF) COVID-19 Pork Consumer Price Big Data Sentiment Analysis Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL)