기후변화와 이상기후가 열대과일 수입에 미치는 영향 분석

• 영문명: Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change and Abnormal Climate on Tropical Fruit Imports
• 발행기관: 한국농식품정책학회
• 저자명: 전무경(Mu Gyeong Jeon) 노호영(Ho Young Rho) 김태영(Taeyoung Kim)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경영.정책연구』농업경영·정책연구 49권 1호, 57~88쪽, 전체 32쪽
• 주제분류: 농수해양 > 식품과학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2022.03.30

영문 초록

This study aims to measure whether climate change and abnormal climate affect agricultural product imports, focusing on tropical fruit crops. A panel gravity model based on import performance in the form of multiple origins to single destination was constructed to analyze the fruit imports from major importing countries to Korea from 1996 to 2018. Methodologies verified in other previous studies, such as the panel tobit model proposed in the study, the panel Poisson model, and the Poisson pseudo-most likelihood estimation method, were used. As the increase in temperature at the origin had a negative effect on the import of tropical fruits in Korea, and the increase in precipitation at the origin also had a negative effect on the import of tropical fruits. The higher the intensity of the abnormal climate at the starting point, the more negatively the import of tropical fruits in Korea was. Among the natural disasters at the origin, drought negatively affected the import of tropical fruits, and the natural disasters at the rest of the origin did not significantly affect the imports of tropical fruits.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 선행연구 검토

Ⅲ. 열대과일 수입실적 및 주요 기후요인 변수

Ⅳ. 연구 방법

Ⅴ. 분석결과

Ⅵ. 요약 및 결론

참고문헌

키워드

Climate Change Tropical Fruit Import Abnormal Climate Spatial Panel Gravity Model