Is Currency Depreciation or More Government Debt Expansionary? The Case of Malaysia

• 발행기관: 한국유통과학회
• 저자명: Yu Hsing
• 간행물 정보: 『East Asian Journal of Business Management』vol.7 no.4, 5~9쪽, 전체 5쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2017.10.31

영문 초록

Purpose – Many countries rely on currency depreciation or debt-financed government spending to stimulate their economies. Currency depreciation tends to increase net exports and aggregate demand but reduce short-run aggregate supply due to higher import costs. Debt-financed government spending increases aggregate demand, but the crowding-out effect due to a higher real interest rate may reduce private spending and aggregate demand. Therefore, the net impact of currency depreciation or debt-financed government spending on equilibrium real GDP is unclear. Research design, data, and methodology - This paper examines potential impacts of real depreciation of the ringgit, more government debt as a percent of GDP and other relevant macroeconomic variables on aggregate output in Malaysia. Results - Applying the AD/AS model, this paper finds that aggregate output in Malaysia is positively associated with real appreciation during 2005.Q3-2010.Q3, real depreciation during 2010.Q4-2016.Q1, the debt-to-GDP ratio and the real stock price, negatively affected by the real lending rate and inflation expectations, and is not influenced by the real oil price. Conclusions - Real depreciation of the ringgit after 2010. Q3 or sustainable expansionary fiscal policy would be beneficial to the economy.

목차

1. Introduction

2. Model

3. Empirical Results

4. Summary and Conclusions

References

키워드

Exchange Rates Government Debt Interest Rates Stock Prices Oil Prices