과수 폐업지원의 성과분석

• 영문명: Analysis on the Performance of the Subsidy for Closing Farms in Fruit Sector: Impact on productivity, scale, price and income by fruit
• 발행기관: 한국농업경제학회
• 저자명: 문한필(Hanpil Moon) 이현근(Hyun-Keun Lee) 최미라(Mira Choi) 채상현(Sang-Hyen Chai)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경제연구』61권 3호, 1~24쪽, 전체 24쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2020.09.30

영문 초록

This study empirically analyzed the effect of the Farm-Closure Assistance(FCA) program on productivity, scale, price, and income of fruit farms for the purpose of objective evaluation of its policy performance.T o this end, panel data for the period of 2000-2018 is constructed for 8 items of fruit, and statistical significance of various proxy variables representing the FCA was tested using the random effect model. As results of the analysis, it is found that the FCA contributed to the improvement of the average productivity and scale of the target item, but the long-term effect on the market price or agricultural income of the item is evaluated to be negligible.I t is because the FCA maintains an institutional framework that induces short-term conversion of crops rather than exit of farming. Although there is an effect on short-term adjustment (reduction) of oversupplied items, it is difficult to expect long-term results such as restructuring, supply and demand stability, and competitiveness improvement.O n the other hand, the balloon effect, which is an indirect ripple effect due to the FCA, is statistically significant in terms of productivity and market price, but not so significant in terms of scale or income increase.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 품목별 폐업지원 현황과 정책성과

Ⅲ. 분석모형 및 자료

Ⅳ. 분석결과

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

참고문헌

키워드

폐업지원 풍선효과 작목전환 생산성 규모화 Farm-Closure Assistance, FCA Balloon Effect Crop Conversion Productivity Scaling-up