창원시의 아파트 매매가격형성에 대한 영향요인 분석

• 영문명: An Analysis of Factors Influencing the Formation of Apartment Sale Price in Changwon City - Focused on the influence of unsold apartments -
• 발행기관: 한국주거환경학회
• 저자명: 성주한(Sung, Joo Han)
• 간행물 정보: 『주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집)』住居環境 제17권 제1호 (통권 제43호), 1~12쪽, 전체 12쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2019.03.30

영문 초록

This study is time series analysis to investigate the factors affecting the formation of apartment sale price in Changwon city centered on unsold apartments. The VEC (2) model of the vector error correction model (VECM), a dynamic method of time series analysis, was used to understand the response and impact of the shock. The results of this study are as follows. Changwon apartment sales price is the most influential variables Changwon Unsoldment and Changwon apartment chonsei price. After the financial crisis, the apartment sales market was not affected by the fundamentals, and the effects of unsold housing and chonsei prices became more important than macroeconomic variables. The increase in Changwon s unsold housing units is attributable to a decline in demand, compared to an increase in supply. As a result, apartment prices seem to have fallen. In order to control the supply appropriately, it is important to control the supply amount (housing construction permit) through the role of Changwon City s control tower and to establish standards for it. In addition, in order to increase demand, it is possible to stabilize the housing market through financial policy and tax policy for short-term activation of trading and the effect of attractiveness through commercial facility development. In addition, Seoul and the provinces are bipolarized, and it is necessary to make policy decisions according to regional situation.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 주택시장 변동의 이론적 근거 및 선행연구

Ⅲ. 자료

Ⅳ. 실증연구

Ⅴ. 결론

키워드

미분양아파트 아파트 매매가격 벡터오차수정모형 시계열분석 금융정책 조세정책 양극화 Unsold Apartments The Sale Price of Apartment The Vector Error Correction Model(VECM) Time Series Analysis Financial Policy Tax Policy Bipolarisation