세계의 구제역 전파․확산 역학 모델 개발 현황과 Davis Animal Disease Simulation 모델 국내 적용 연구

• 영문명: Epidemiological models on spread of foot-and-mouth disease and application of the Davis Animal Disease Simulation model in the Republic of Korea
• 발행기관: 한국예방수의학회
• 저자명: 윤하정(chung Yoon) 김한(Han Kim) 윤순식(Soon-Seek Yoon) 김연주(Youn-Ju Kim) 김병한(Byounghan Kim) Jack Coleman(Jack Coleman) Tim Carpenter(Tim Carpenter)
• 간행물 정보: 『Korean Journal of Veterinary Public Health』Vol.35, No.4, 199~213쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 의약학 > 면역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2011.12.30

영문 초록

Epidemic models on disease spread attempt to simulate disease transmission and associated control processes. This study reviewed published papers on epidemiological models for the management of foot-and-mouth disease in the world. In addition, an individual animal-based, spatially-explicit, stochastic disease transmission model, the Davis Animal Disease Simulation (DADS) model, was described in the frame of an international collaborative research project partici-pating three countries: Republic of Korea, USA, and New Zealand. In this project, the Korean team is aiming at de-veloping the most appropriate parameters for livestock and epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks. On the other hand, the purpose of foreign counterparts is validating their models: DADS (USA) and InterSpread Plus (New Zealand). Classification of farm types and preliminary estimations on the frequency of intra-herd contacts were also presented. This research project is expected to provide precious information to plan a strategy that will facilitate the eradication of foot-and-mouth disease from Korea.

목차

서 론

세계의 구제역에 대한 역학적 모델

DADS 모델의 구성

미국 자료를 이용한 DADS 내부타당도 검증

우리나라 자료를 이용한 시험적 시뮬레이션 실행

고 찰

키워드

Foot-and-Mouth Disease Simulation Epidemiological Model DADS