Household Rice Consumption Behavior in Korea:

• 발행기관: 한국농식품정책학회
• 저자명: Jae Keun Shin Doo Bong Han Ji Yong Lee Hiroshi Mori Kyung Rok Lee
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경영.정책연구』농업경영·정책연구 37권 3호, 481~504쪽, 전체 24쪽
• 주제분류: 농수해양 > 식품과학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2010.09.30

영문 초록

Persistent decline of rice consumption in Korea has heightened public awareness of future changes in the staple crop’s demand. By identifying age, period, and cohort effects, this study provides scientific reasons behind the weakening rice consumption and predicts its levels up to 2022. We found the age effects range from -5.8kg to 9.9kg across age groups. The period effects are changed from 21kg to -23kg over the 1982-2007 periods. The cohort effects vary from 20kg for those born in the 1940s to -33kg for those born in the early 1990s. Finally, rice consumption per capita by age group in 2022 is forecast to extend from 22.4kg for those in their 30s to 74.8kg for those in their 60s and beyond.

목차

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. Deriving Data for Cohort Analysis

Ⅲ. Decomposing Korean Rice Consumption by Age, Period, and Cohort Effects

Ⅳ. Interpreting Predicted Per Capita Consumption of Rice by Age

Ⅴ. Conclusions

References

키워드

Cohort Analysis Rice Consumption Age-Period-Cohort Model