한․미 FTA가 포도 농가의 재무구조에 미치는 파급영향

• 영문명: Effects of the Korea-US FTA on Grape Production and Farm Financial Performance in Korean Grape Farms
• 발행기관: 한국농식품정책학회
• 저자명: 박지은(Ji eun Park) 한두봉(Doo Bong Han) 서상택(Sang taek Seo)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경영.정책연구』농업경영·정책연구 35권 4호, 714~731쪽, 전체 18쪽
• 주제분류: 농수해양 > 식품과학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2008.12.31

영문 초록

This study estimates effects of Korea-US Free Trade Agreement(FTA) on grape production and farm financial performance in Korean grape farms. For the analysis, recursive econometric models were set up to reflect changes in domestic demand for and supply of fresh grape caused by imported grape from the US. In addition, 21 grape farms in main production regions were surveyed to get farm financial data and their financial indicators were analyzed. The results show that grape production would decrease by 4.3%~15.6% depending on scenarios for next 15 years due to the Korea-US FTA. Farm financial performance would be deteriorated with years from the outset. Especially, owner equity would decrease faster than debt, thus leverage ratio gets worse.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 신선포도의 수입가능성 검토

Ⅲ. 모형의 구조와 추정 방법

Ⅳ. 한․미 FTA의 파급영향 분석

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

참 고 문 헌

키워드

Korea-US FTA Farm Financial Analysis Grape