아파트 분양가격과 건설사 수익성간의 관계에 관한 연구

• 영문명: The relationship between pre-construction housing prices and profitability of construction companies
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 김지현(Kim, Ji-Hyun) 최충익(Choi, Choong-Ik)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제19권 제2호, 33~56쪽, 전체 24쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2007.06.30

영문 초록

The drastic increase of housing prices over the last five years has caused public conflict as condorniniums have becarne unaffordable for many people. Some NGOs have claimed that following the Korean government’s alleviation of price-ceiling measures in 1999, newly-built condorniniums have been overpriced by construction companies resulting in rapid rises in existing housing prices. This study aims at analyzing whether the sale price of acquisition rights of new condorniniums has influenced existing housing prices and the relationship between the pre-construction price of new condorniniums and profit margin of construction companies by applying a Granger model. The findings indicate that preconstruction prices of new condominiums do not have a consistent effect on existing housing prices. In addition, there is no likelihood regarding the causality between the profit of construction companies and the pre-construction price of new condorniniums.

키워드

아파트 분양가격(pre-construction price of new condominiurns) 재고아파트가격(price of existing condorniniurns) 건설사 수익성 (profit margin of construction cornpanies) 그랜저 인과관계(Granger’ s causality)