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• 영문명: Urban Growth Prediction Modeling 8ased on Allometry and Cellular Automata: With Application to the Daejeon Metropolitan Area
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 정재준(Jeong. Jae Joon)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제16권 제2호, 1~14쪽, 전체 14쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2004.06.30

영문 초록

Pred.icting physical urban fonn is very usef for the efficient land use. One method for urban growth pred.iction is a cellular automata based model, in which urban growth is first an떠yzed and urban fonn is predicted based on the results of urban growth analysis. In this study, urban fonn is pred.icted based on the results of urban growth analysis and allometry. In the pred.iction process, urban growth analysis reveals the urban growth type and allometry correlates population with urban area. Urban growth analysis shows that spillover growth is dorninant factor in urban growth and the results of urban growth prediction revel that urban pred.iction area roughly coincides with ongoing developing area or potentially developing area. Consequently, proposed pred.iction methods could be said to be potentially applicable.