신약도입과 기대여명의 증가

• 영문명: The Effect of Pharmaceutical Innovation on Longevity
• 발행기관: 대한약학회
• 저자명: 권혜영(Hye-Young Kwon)
• 간행물 정보: 『약학회지』제55권 제4호 (2011년), 1~11쪽, 전체 11쪽
• 주제분류: 의약학 > 기타의약학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2011.08.30

영문 초록

This study aims to assess the aggregate contribution of new drugs to the increase in life expectancy. We constructed a panel data combining mortality data in KOSIS and a drug dataset generated by assigning new drugs listed in 2000-2009 to their respective ICD codes. We found that 10% increase in stock of new drug led to 0.13~0.27% increase in the probability of survival to age 65. Due to lack of disease-specific life table, we used indirect approach to estimate the effect of new drugs on longevity. Using ordinary least squares, the estimate of the probability of survival to age 65(logarithm) on life expectancy for all ages was 24.92. In conclusion, the increase in life expectancy of the entire population in Korea between 2000 and 2009 resulting from NMEs is 1.95 years, which explains 46.6% of real increase in life expectancy.

키워드

Life expectancy Longevity New drug Pharmaceutical innovation Cost-effectiveness