탄소누출에 의한 제조업경쟁력 약화효과 및 보완방안

• 영문명: How Big Are the Effects of Carbon Leakage in the Korean Manufacturing Sectors?
• 발행기관: 한국경제연구원
• 저자명: 이선화(Sunhwa Lee)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국경제연구원 연구보고서』연구보고서 2011-04-01, 383~482쪽, 전체 100쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2011.01.28

영문 초록

This paper estimates the effects that greenhouse gas emissions regulations have on the sales of the Korean manufacturing industry when they take the form of either emission trading schemes or carbon taxes. The annual turnovers are estimated to decrease by 0.69 1.25% in the major ～ industries that are heavy users of fossil fuels as inputs. The rates amount to 6,700～11,200 billion KRW. The estimates are derived assuming 20 USD or 30 euro per CO₂ ton, based on the scenarios in the Waxman-Markey bill of the US and the EU 2009 directive respectively. The most influenced manufacturing sectors turn out to be basic metal products, non-metallic mineral products and fabricated metal products. In particular, the sales of gray and malleable iron foundries are estimated to decrease by as big as 8.7～15.7% that amounts to 1,200～2,100 billion KRW, depending on the assumption on carbon prices. In this paper, carbon leakage is suggested as a key element in determining the effectiveness and the efficiency of the GHG policies that charge prices on the CO₂ emissions in manufacturing industries. Therefore, a grace period should be allowed for the sectors that are heavily exposed to carbon leakages until competing countries institute the GHG regulations comparable to the level of the ones imposed by the Korean government. It is further argued that the emission trading schemes might not work as intended in Korea, due to the highly concentrated structure of Korean manufacturing installations and consequently due to a limited number of market participants.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 배출량 추정과 기초통계

Ⅲ. 제조업 비용분석과 대응방안

Ⅳ. 결론

참고문헌

부표

Abstract