系统仿真视角下平顶山市城市社区养老托育服务供给研究

• 영문명: Research on the Supply of Community Care Services for Urban Elderly and Children in Pingdingshan City from the Perspective of System Simulation
• 발행기관: YIXIN 출판사
• 저자명: 万果 苏杭
• 간행물 정보: 『Journal of China Studies』제1권 제2호, 81~96쪽, 전체 16쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 교육학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2023.09.30

국문 초록

随着社会老龄化和少子化趋势加剧，中国人口结构面临着严峻挑战。2021 年正式实施“三孩政策”之后，平顶山市面临着如何提供有效的社区服务，满足老年人和儿童的需求，促进社区和谐发展的问题。2022 年 9 月，平顶山市组织制定“一老一小”整体解决方案，提出将以供给侧结构性改革为主线，调动政府、市场、社会各方面力量，统筹兜底线、促普惠、市场化协同发展路径，在老有所养、幼有所育上不断取得新进展。本文围绕城市社区养老托育服务的供给与需求、影响城市社区养老托育的因素以及政策建议三个维度，通过研究文献和整理数据，建立模拟仿真模型，通过模型分析，最终找出城市社区养老托育服务体系功能发挥的影响因素，提出完善城市社区养老托育服务体系的对策建议，以保障未来养老托育服务的供需，寻找经济发展和社会保障的平衡点。

영문 초록

With the increasing trend of aging and fewer children in society, China’s population structure is facing severe challenges. After the official implementation of the “Three Child Policy” in 2021, Pingdingshan City is facing the problems of how to provide effective community services, meet the needs of the elderly and children, and promote harmonious community development. In September 2022, Pingdingshan City formulated a comprehensive solution titled “one old and one little” to carry out supply side structural reform. The main content is to establish a bottom line through social security coordination, promote universal benefits, by mobilizing various forces from the government, market, and society to achieve a market-oriented coordinated development path. It has continuously made new progress in providing for the elderly and children. This article revolves around three dimensions: the supply and demand of urban community elderly care services, the factors that affect urban community elderly care, and policy suggestions. By studying literature and organizing data, a simulation model is established. Through model analysis, the influencing factors of the functional performance of the urban community elderly care service system are ultimately identified, and countermeasures and suggestions for improving the urban community elderly care service system are proposed. I hope it could ensure the supply and demand of future elderly care services, and find a balance between economic development and social security.

목차

Ⅰ. 引言

Ⅱ. 研究综述

Ⅲ. 系统动力学在社区养老托育研究中的适用性分析

Ⅳ. 系统动力学模型构建

Ⅴ. 优化“养老托育”社区服务的对策

키워드

Community Care Services for the Elderly and Children Balance between Supply and Demand System Dynamics Policy Suggestion 社区养老托育 供需平衡 系统动力学 政策建议