금융위기 이후 예금취급기관 가계대출과 주택가격의 동태적 관계

• 영문명: The Dynamic Relationship between Household Loans of Depository Institutions and Housing Prices after the Financial Crisis
• 발행기관: 강원대학교 경영경제연구소
• 저자명: 한규식(Gyu-Sik Han)
• 간행물 정보: 『아태비즈니스연구』제11권 제4호, 189~203쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 인문학 > 문학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2020.12.30

영문 초록

Purpose - This study aims in analyzing the dynamic relationship between household loans and housing prices according to the characteristics of depository institutions after the financial crisis, identifying the recent trends between them, and making policy suggestions for stabilizing house prices. Design/methodology/approach - The monthly data used in this study are household loans, household loan interest rates, and housing prices ranging from January 2012 to May 2020, and came from ECOS of the Bank of Korea and Liiv-on of Kookmin Bank. This study used vector auto-regression, generalized impulse response function, and forecast error variance decomposition with the data so as to yield analysis results. Findings - The analysis of this study no more shows that the household loan interest rates in both deposit banks and non-bank deposit institutions had statistically significant effects on housing prices. Also, unlike the previous studies, there was statistically significant bi-directional causality between housing prices and household loans in neither deposit banks nor non-bank deposit institutions. Rather, it was found that there is a unidirectional causality from housing prices to household loans in deposit banks, which is considered that housing prices have one-sided effects on household loans due to the overheated housing market after the financial crisis. Research implications or Originality - As a result, Korea s housing market is closely related to deposit banks, and housing prices are acting as more dominant information variables than interest rates or loans under the long-term low interest rate trend. Therefore, in order to stabilize housing prices, the housing supply must be continuously made so that everyone can enjoy housing services equally. In addition, the expansion and reinforcement of the social security net should be realized systematically so as to stop households from being troubled with the housing price decline.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구

Ⅲ. 자료 및 분석방법

Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과

Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점

References

키워드

Household Loans Household Loan Interest Rates Housing Prices Stabilization