CCTV의 범죄예방효과 분석

• 영문명: Crime-Deterring Effect of CCTV: Application of a Dose-Response Model for Continuous Treatment Variable
• 발행기관: 한국형사정책학회
• 저자명: 염윤호(Yeom, Yun-Ho)
• 간행물 정보: 『형사정책』刑事政策 第31卷 第2號, 203~233쪽, 전체 31쪽
• 주제분류: 법학 > 법학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2019.07.31

영문 초록

Examining the census output areas of Gwanak-gu, Seoul, South Korea, this study analyzed crime deterrence effects of CCTV in the application of a dose-response model proposed by Cerulli(2015). This study observed the number of CCTV installed in the output areas as a zero-inflated count variable, which cannot be fully estimated with traditional propensity score or dose-response models. On contrary to the traditional models, which assume the treatment variable as either binary or normal, the revised dose-response model can solve the zero-inflated and non-normal distribution issues in the treatment variable. Using the revised dose-response model, this study found that a CCTV installed in an output area is estimated to decrease 1.23 cases of theft. On the other hands, this study did not find any statistically significant effect of CCTV on violent crime. Moreover, this study estimated that the decrease in the total population and the increase in the alcohol outlet density are estimated to positively impact the number of theft. Based on these results, this study suggested that customized crime prevention activities, in particular, the installation of CCTVs in the hotspot of theft, should be implemented in each output area.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 이론적 논의 및 선행연구

Ⅲ. 연구방법

Ⅳ. 분석결과

Ⅴ. 논의 및 시사점

키워드

용량반응 모형 성향점수매칭 모형 CCTV 범죄예방효과 절도/폭력범죄 dose-response model propensity score matching CCTV crime deterrence effect theft violent crime