기후변화가 농업부문에 미치는 경제적 영향 분석

• 영문명: Economic Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Agriculture in Korea
• 발행기관: 한국농업경제학회
• 저자명: 김창길(Chang-Gil Kim) 이상민(Sang-Min Lee)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경제연구』50권 2호, 1~25쪽, 전체 25쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2009.06.30

영문 초록

This paper measures economic impact of climate change on crop farming in Korea. Using cross-sectional data on climate, soil, farmland prices, and other economic and geophysical data, we employ a Ricardian approach to measure the relationship between climate and the farmland value. The study carries out a marginal impact analysis of increasing temperature and changing precipitation. The empirical analysis reveals that a rise of 1℃ in the annual average temperature (12.4℃ ) brought down the price of farmland per ha by approximately KRW 14.5～19.2 million, equivalent to a 5.7～7.5% drop in the average farmland price. On the other hand, an increase of 1㎜ in the monthly average precipitation (110.8㎜) was estimated to increase the farmland price per ha by KRW 330～360 thousand. In general, the results show that the temperature component of global warming is much important than precipitation. Findings call for monitoring and early warn-ing system of climate change and dissemination of information to farmers to encourage adaptations to climate change.

목차

I. 서 론

II. 분석모형

III. 분석자료

IV. 분석결과

V. 요약 및 결론

키워드

climate change agro-economic model hedonic price model Ricardian approach quasi-rent farmland price