미분양 아파트 결정구조에 관한 연구

• 영문명: Determinants on Structure of Unsold Apartment
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 김주영(Kim Ju Young) 김형순(Kim Hyung Sun)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회 세미나 논문집』2010년 추계학술대회 발표집, 91~104쪽, 전체 14쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2010.10.30

영문 초록

Prior studies concerning unsold housing usually depend on cross-section analysis data using macro-economy factors. Our study analyze the scope of analysis to city boundary and focus on basic variables and city s unique characteristics on unsold housing change. Recently, real estate life cycles studies found out regional variables more important ones in its explaning real real estate life cycles than macro-economic factors. The results of this study also confirm the prior studies partially. Every city has its unique location, history and industry formation, so this invariable ingredients have a more meaning that why some cities have a quite a lot unsold houses than others. Multi-level Growth model was used to find out the trend of unsold housing for the period of 2002-2008. Empirical results like that. Demand factors like population gorwth and income level didn t have a substanation effects on chainging unsold hosuing at least in short term periods. What is the more important factors in changing of unsold housing is the unique characteristics of cities characteristics like its locaiotn and industry formation. We suggest national government oriented government policy need to cope with regional urban housing policies.

목차

1. 연구의 배경 및 목적

2. 이론적 고찰

3. 미분양 아파트의 결정구조

4. 실증분석

5. 결론 및 정책적 시사점

참고문헌

키워드

다층성장모델(Multi-level Growth Model) 미분양아파트(Unsold Apartment) 대각행렬(Diagonal Matrics) 인구이동(Population Movement) 도시특성(Urban Characteristics)