Understanding the Syrian Crisis

• 발행기관: 한국중동학회
• 저자명: JANG, Ji Hyang Peter Lee
• 간행물 정보: 『한국중동학회 학술대회 자료집』2012년 국제학술대회 발표집, 87~95쪽, 전체 9쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2012.05.30

영문 초록

Most policymakers and analysts have been overly-optimistic in their predictions of the imminent demise of President Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria. Thus, it is necessary to assess what factors have allowed the regime to survive for so long. This working paper by the Middle East and North Africa Center at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies is organized into three sections. Section one argues that continuing military loyalty to the regime and international protection from intervention have been the crucial variables enabling the regime’s survival. Section two argues that there must be a concerted effort to remove key elements of Assad’s security apparatus and that those states supporting the opposition must first reach a consensus before dealing with Syria’s backers. Section three concludes by outlining how, without adequately dealing with these two variables, a post-Assad Syria could continue to face significant security challenges.

목차

Section One: The Syrian Crisis and the “Arab Spring”

Section Two: Policy Recommendations

Section Three: Beyond Assad