VAR을 이용한 도매가격, 반입량, 수입량 및 수요량의 동태적 상관분석

• 영문명: An Dynamic Analysis on the Relationship among Prices, Trading Volumes, Import Volumes and Demand Using VAR － Focused on Cabbage, Onions, and Garlic －
• 발행기관: 한국농촌지도학회
• 저자명: 남국현(Kuk-Hyun Nam) 최영찬(Young-Chan Choe)
• 간행물 정보: 『농촌지도와 개발』24권 1호, 9~19쪽, 전체 11쪽
• 주제분류: 농수해양 > 기타농수해양
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2017.03.31

영문 초록

This paper analyses the interrelationship among wholesale price, trading volumes, import volumes and demand for three agricultural products (cabbage, onions, and garlic) by using the consumer panel and the data from the Korea Rural Economic Institute and the Korea Customs Service with a VAR model. The results are summarized as below. (1) The prices of three agricultural products decrease when trading volumes increase while the price of cabbage and onions decreases when import volumes increase. But the prices of three agricultural products have little effects on trading volumes. (2) The demand of three agricultural products increases when trading volumes increase while the demand of cabbage and onions increases when import volumes increase. (3) when demand of garlic and cabbage increases by 10%, their price increases by 2.5% and 1.3% respectively. And the demand of garlic has positive effects on import volumes of garlic.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 선행연구

3. 자료 및 분석방법

4. 분석결과

5. 결 론

키워드

wholesale price trading volume import volume demand VAR