오차수정모형을 이용한 고추의 재배면적반응함수 추정

• 영문명: Estimating Acreage Response of Red Pepper by Using Error Correction Model)
• 발행기관: 한국농식품정책학회
• 저자명: 홍승지(Seungjee Hong) 김성훈(Sounghun Kim) 이을경(Eulkyeong Lee)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경영.정책연구』농업경영·정책연구 42권 3호, 507~522쪽, 전체 16쪽
• 주제분류: 농수해양 > 식품과학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2015.09.30

영문 초록

Red pepper acreage response is very important for policy decision regarding red pepper production as well as mitigation of the high dependency of imported red pepper. Previous studies based on Nerlovian model resulted in spurious regression problem which can be overcome by using cointegration analysis and error correction model (ECM). This study attempts to investigate the influence of own price and related products prices on the acreage response of red pepper by using ECM. The results show that long-run elasticities are higher than short-run elasticities. Also own price elasticity of red pepper and cross price elasticities are high in the long-run. The results imply that government should focus on the factors that affect the long-run price elasticity and formulate the policies that ensure the profitable price to the producers.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 오차수정모형

Ⅲ. 자료 및 추정 모형

Ⅳ. 추정 결과

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

키워드

Red Pepper Acreage Response Error Correction Model Cointegration