Global Economic Integration and Land Use Change

• 영문명: Global Economic Integration and Land Use Change
• 발행기관: 세종대학교 경제통합연구소
• 저자명: Alla Golub Thomas Hertel
• 간행물 정보: 『Journal of Economic Integration』제23권 제3호, 463~488쪽, 전체 26쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 경제학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2008.09.30

영문 초록

The goal of this work is to investigate the role of global integration in determining long-run patterns of land-use change. We utilize a dynamic general equilibrium model that has been modified to incorporate the most important economic features driving global land demand and supply, and simulate a baseline period from 1997-2025 over which land rents world-wide rise sharply and the global allocation of land between agriculture and forestry changes rather significantly in some regions. Through a series of restricted simulations of the model, we are able to isolate the impact on land markets of the following elements of growth and globalization: (i) population growth, (ii) real income growth, (iii) access of new forest lands, and (iv) international trade. We found that international trade plays a very substantial role in mediating between the land-abundant, slower growing economies of the Americas and Australia/New Zealand, and the land-scarce, rapidly growing economies of Asia. In summary, when combined, the forces of globalization are expected to play a large role in determining the pattern of land use change.

목차

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. Methodology

Ⅲ. Results

Ⅳ. Summary

키워드

land use climate change policy baseline general equilibrium agro-ecological zones