한우 사육주기를 반영한 단기 도매가격모형 개발

• 영문명: A Study on Developing Hanwoo Short-term Wholesale Price Model Reflecting the Beef Cycle
• 발행기관: 한국농식품정책학회
• 저자명: 정진주(Jinju Jung) 이강민(Kangmin Lee) 지인배(Inbae Ji)
• 간행물 정보: 『농업경영.정책연구』50권 4호, 665~684쪽, 전체 20쪽
• 주제분류: 자연과학 > 생활/식품과학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2023.12.31

국문 초록

The production of Hanwoo cattle involves a lengthy process, spanning approximately 40 months, including a 10-month gestation period, from the initial decision-making on the farm to the supply of cattle. This extended timeline contributes to the overall beef cycle, which lasts around 10 years. Notably, the Hanwoo industry is currently undergoing structural changes characterized by increased scale, specialization, and integrated farming practices. The objective of this study is to develop a short-term wholesale price model that incorporates the long-term slaughter population model, taking into account both the beef cycle and the structural changes of the Hanwoo industry. This short-term wholesale price model comprises an estimate of the number of cattle slaughtered and various explanatory variables that influence wholesale prices. Importantly, the predictive accuracy of this model surpasses that of previous research efforts. The developed model in this study is anticipated to serve as a valuable tool for forecasting the number of Hanwoo cattle slaughtered and predicting wholesale prices accurately.

목차

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 선행 연구

Ⅲ. 연구모형

Ⅳ. 분석 결과

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

참고문헌

키워드

Hanwoo Beef Cycle Structural Change Wholesale Price Model Demand and Supply Model