공통요인 효과를 고려한 아태지역 국가의 합계출산율 결정요인 분석

• 영문명: Analysis of Determinants of Total Fertility Rate in Asia-Pacific Countries Considering Common Factors Effect
• 발행기관: 한국무역연구원
• 저자명: 김소연(So-Youn Kim) 류수열(Su-Yeol Ryu)
• 간행물 정보: 『무역연구』제20권 제2호, 467~481쪽, 전체 15쪽
• 주제분류: 경제경영 > 무역학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2024.04.30

영문 초록

Purpose - This study examines the impact on total fertility rate in 30 countries in the Asia-Pacific region, focusing on female labor market participation and labor market instability. Design/Methodology/Approach - There is a common factors effect of cross-sectional dependence on the total fertility rate, explanatory variables, and residuals. Therefore, it was estimated using the CS-ARDL (Cross-Sectionally augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lags) model that considers the dynamics of total fertility rate, common factors effect, and heterogeneity by country. Findings - Female labor market participation and labor market instability have a negative (-) effect on the total fertility rate, but the coefficient of the interaction term is estimated to have a positive (+) sign, so it should be considered in the impact of the labor force participation rate and unemployment rate. Research Implications - A low female labor force participation rate and unemployment rate drive a high total fertility rate, but countries with a high labor force participation rate should have a high unemployment rate, and countries with a high unemployment rate should have a high labor force participation rate. Therefore, policies are needed to enable women to balance work and family life, and facilitate entry into the labor market.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 선행연구

Ⅲ. 자료 및 모형

Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

References

키워드

Common Factors Effect CS-ARDL Model Female Labor Force Participation Rate Labor Market Instability Total Fertility Rate