인구변화의 지역경제 성장효과 분석

• 영문명: An Analysis of Regional Economic Growth Effects of Population Change
• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 박승규(Park, Seungkyu) 이범현(Lee, Bum-hyun)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제31권 제3호, 253~278쪽, 전체 26쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2019.09.30

영문 초록

The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the effects of population changes on regional economy due to changes in population, human capital with technology, and non-working(ageing) population by using regional statistical data of the National Statistical Office and the Bank of Korea from 2003 to 2016. As a result, the increased number of labor due to the increase of population decreased the production, consumption and capital steady-state of the metropolitan city and province, but the rate of convergence was rather increased. That is, growth of region was not achieved only by the growth of population. In addition, the increase of effective labor drove relatively decreasing tendency of capital and human capital along with consumption divergence in metropolitan city but province not. The growth of capital and golden rule of consumption due to increase of effective labor drove convergence in province. Finally, the increase of the non-working population, aging population, decreased capital, production and consumption of both metropolitan city and province, however, which resulted in an increase in technical progress. Therefore, with applying growth model to different regions, this study showed empirical results of the changes of population factors on change of regional economic factors.

목차

1. 서 론

2. 선행연구검토

3. 실증분석

4. 결 론

키워드

기술진보(technical progress) 효율적인 노동자(effective labor) 고령화(ageing) 경제성장(economic growth)