Creating the Conditions for Peace in Korea: Promoting Incremental Change in North Korea

• 발행기관: 한국학술연구원
• 저자명: Terence Roehrig
• 간행물 정보: 『Korea Observer』Vol 40, No 1, 201~232쪽, 전체 32쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 정치외교학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2009.03.30

영문 초록

This article examines the vexing problem of bringing peace to Korea. Success will require fundamental change to the North Korean regime and its behavior. However, North Korea faces a dangerous security environment with external and internal threats making regime survival its chief goal. Consequently, North Korea’s strategic world view is firmly anchored in the international relations theory of realism. Increased pressure makes it more difficult for North Korea to move beyond the constraints of realism and the North’s collapse would create even more serious problems for the region. This paper argues that a long-term, three-prong approach by South Korea, the United States and others in the region may be the best way to create the foundation for peace: diplomatic engagement that begins to reduce North Korea’s security concerns; economic engagement to open up the North Korean economy to encourage forces within to push for change; and continued military preparedness as a hedge to ensure stability.

목차

Abstact

I. Introduction

II. International Relations Theory and Conflict on the Korean Peninsula

III. The Nature of the Korean Conflict

IV. Creating the Conditions for Peace in Korea

V. Forcing Regime Change

VI. North Korea, Realism, and Reform

VII. Promoting Gradual Regime Change from Within

VIII. Conclusion

References

키워드

North Korea South Korea U.S.-North Relations Realism Economic Reform Engagement