A Study on the Forecasting of Employment Demand in Kenya Logistics Industry

• 발행기관: 한국항해항만학회
• 저자명: 신용존 김현덕 이성윤 한희정 배후석
• 간행물 정보: 『한국항해항만학회지』제39권 제2호, 115~123쪽, 전체 9쪽
• 주제분류: 공학 > 해양공학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2015.02.01

영문 초록

This study focused on the alternative to estimate the demand of employment in Kenya logistics. First of all, it investigated the importance and necessity of search about the present circumstance of the country’s industry. Next, it reviewed respectively the concept and limitation of several previous models for employment, including Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA; ROA, Netherlands; IER (Institute for Employment Research), UK; and IAB, Germany. In regard to the demand forecasting of employers in logistics, it could anticipate more realistically the future demand by the time-lag approach. According to the findings, if value of output record 733,080 KSH million in 2015 and 970,640 in 2020, compared to 655,222 in 2013, demand on wage employment in logistics industry would be reached up to 95,860 in 2015 and 104,329 in 2020, compared to about 89,600 in 2012. To conclude, this study showed the more rational numbers about the demand forecasting of employment than the previous researches and displayed the systematic approach to estimate industry manpower in logistics

목차

1. Introduction

2. Status of Kenya Logistics

3. Existing Theoretical Models

4. Research Model and Analysis

5. Conclusion

References

키워드

Demand estimation Forecasting employment Regression analysis Kenya logistics industry Time-lag model