Analysis of marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways

• 발행기관: 한국항해항만학회
• 저자명: Kwang il Kim Gye-Kark Park Jung Sik Jeong
• 간행물 정보: 『한국항해항만학회지』제35권 제9호, 729~733쪽, 전체 5쪽
• 주제분류: 공학 > 해양공학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2011.12.31

영문 초록

The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.

목차

Abstract

1. Introduction

2. The traffic characteristics of Mokpo waterways

3. Risk modeling using ship traffic data

4. Collision probability of Mokpo waterways

5. Conclusions

Acknowledgement

References

키워드

accident probability geometrical probability causation probability collision risk AIS