주택가격 변동의 부의 효과 추정

• 영문명: Estimation of the Housing Wealth Effect
• 발행기관: 한국도시부동산학회(구.도시정책학회)
• 저자명: 전현진 김민재
• 간행물 정보: 『도시부동산연구』13권 4호, 91~108쪽, 전체 18쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 정책학
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2022.12.31

영문 초록

This study estimates housing wealth effects on consumption in Korea using Fully Modifided OLS. The data used for analysis are times series data from the first quarter of 1991 to the first quarter of 2022. According to the analysis results, an increase in the housing price only increases consumption expenditures for durable goods such as automobiles, home appliances, and furniture, and other households' consumption expenditures and final consumption expenditures decrease. Due to the relatively high housing price compared to the past, it is difficult for households with houses to increase their mortgage value due to the increase in housing prices, and the effect of capital gains from housing disposal is also insignificant. On the other hand, in the case of households without housing, an increase in housing prices leads to an increase in housing costs, resulting in a contraction in consumption. Thus, in terms of macroeconomics, a device for stabilizing the housing market is required.

목차

Ⅰ. 연구의 배경 및 목적

Ⅱ. 이론적 배경

Ⅲ. 분석모형 및 자료

Ⅳ. 분석결과

Ⅴ. 결론

참고문헌

키워드

주택가격 주택시장 부의 효과 소비 Housing Price Housing Market Wealth Effect Consumption