기후변화 영향에 따른 새만금 방조제 해수면상승 연구

• 영문명: Climate Change Impacts of Sea Level Rise on the Saemangeum Sea Dike
• 발행기관: 한국연안방재학회
• 저자명: 이백(Baeg Lee) 정민규(Min-Kyu Jung) 권현한(Hyun-Han Kwon)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국연안방재학회지』제9권 제1호, 13~21쪽, 전체 9쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 사회과학일반
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2022.01.31

영문 초록

The Saemangeum Sea Dike, completed in 2011 in South Korea, is the longest sea dike in the world. One of the most pressing issues of today, climate change leads to sea-level rise that could increase the risk of sea dike overflow. However, what impact climate change will have on the Saemangeum Sea Dike has not been verified yet. Here, we estimate the impacts of sea-level rise on the Saemangeum Sea Dike, using the Linear Regression Analysis method, the Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) method, and the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method. The sea level data of the Saemangeum area over the last 30 years were analyzed, and the results showed that the maximum rate of sea-level rise of the Saemangeum Sea Dike is at 2.51 mm/year when the EEMD method was applied. It means that the impact of sea-level rise on the Saemangeum sea dike is reasonably low because the sea level rise will exceed the freeboard after 366 years, so there is currently no clear sign that it poses a problem.

목차

1. 서론

2. 연구방법

3. 조위관측자료 기반 해수면 상승 경향성 분석

4. 결론

키워드

Climate change Saemangeum sea dike Sea level rise