국제 원자재 가격변동이 지역경제에 미치는 효과분석

• 발행기관: 한국지역개발학회
• 저자명: 윤갑식(Yun. Kap-Sik) 오동훈(Oh. Dong-Hoon)
• 간행물 정보: 『한국지역개발학회지』제21권 제4호, 129~150쪽, 전체 22쪽
• 주제분류: 사회과학 > 지역개발
• 파일형태: PDF
• 발행일자: 2009.12.30

영문 초록

This study attempts to construct a regional computable general equilibrium(CGE) model to analyze the impact of increases in the irnport price of raw material Such as oil and natural gas on the lncheon economy. The model structure is largely segmented into five equation blocks which include a regional output production and distribution block. a regional commodity production and distribution block. a household and gove미 nenl block, a capital market bl∞k. and a market clearing condition block. And the model is distinguished from other regional mod허 s in that interregional comm여ity flow is s야cifically incorporated in the model. In this paper, two scenarios for increasing rate of the Împort pnce of raw material are assumed. The simulation demonstrates that the 10% increase in the import price of raw matenal reduces GRDP of Incheon by 0.28%. raises the regional consumer pnce index by 0 찌% and widens the Incheon’s trade deficit by 4.43%